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Choosing Riyadh over Dubai? What Investors Should Know

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Trojena, Saudi Arabia, ski resort, Neom, Asian Winter Games, Zaha Hadid, Unstudio
Zaha Hadad ski resort in Red Sea area mountains

 

Investors should require independent KPIs: energy intensity (kWh/m³) for desal plants, verifiable renewable MWh, biodiversity baselines, and public reporting aligned with GRI/SASB—rather than relying on glossy pledges.

Saudi Arabia is in the midst of a once-in-a-century transformation. Vision 2030 is pushing the Kingdom to diversify away from oil through massive investment in tourism, logistics, manufacturing, and technology—while developing renewable power and modernizing water infrastructure. For investors, the upside is real: multibillion-dollar project pipelines, incentives in special economic and industrial zones, and a government willing to co-invest. The risks are real too: execution delays on gigaprojects, policy uncertainty (e.g., the regional HQ mandate), and reputational scrutiny around sustainability and governance.

Tourism is Vision 2030’s marquee growth engine. Saudi Arabia surpassed 100 million visits in 2023 and is now targeting 150 million by 2030, according to UN Tourism and official statements. Can it be the new Bali or Phuket? The Government website notes that about 20 million tourists come to Mecca every year as holy Hajj pilgrims, however. So numbers don’t reflect traditional western style tourism.

In 2024 the Kingdom counted roughly 116 million domestic and inbound trips; in early 2025, authorities reported triple-digit growth in international arrivals off a relatively new base. On the ground, luxury coastal destinations led by Red Sea Global are opening in phases (e.g., St. Regis and Six Senses islands), positioned around net-zero energy claims, mangrove restoration, and stringent construction controls.

See on-the-ground Green Prophet reporting: Red Sea Islands: Luxury Tourism & Sustainability, Shebara Resort, Shebara pod hotel pricing, Sheybarah sea pods. The Financial Times frames the broader tourism pivot (>US$1 trillion ambition) and its contradictions (e.g., alcohol policy, social norms).

Industrial Parks, Special Economic Zones, and the HQ Mandate

Knowing that its oil days are limited, Saudi Arabia is courting manufacturers and service firms into MODON industrial cities and Special Economic Zones (SEZs) with land, infrastructure, and fiscal incentives. Explore MODON’s official resources: MODON portal, Industrial Cities list, Cost of Industry.

Regulatory leverage is also in play: since 2024, companies seeking Saudi government contracts must hold a regional headquarters in Riyadh. Reuters and policy trackers have covered the mandate and its enforcement. BNY Mellon, Goldman Sachs and others have obtained RHQ licenses as the King Abdullah Financial District gains tenants—yet analysts still flag competition from Dubai and the need for continued legal and regulatory clarity. Dubai or Riyadh? This source explains that in Saudi Arabia your business taxes will be about 20% and you will need to pay a 2.5% religious tax called zakat.

Despite progress, FDI inflows have been uneven: net FDI dipped in Q1 2025 and officials acknowledge the stretch target of US$100 billion annually by 2030.

NEOM: Visionary Scale Meets Delivery Reality

Trojena, neom, artificial lake, saudi arabia

NEOM anchors the northwest “giga-project” slate: The Line (urban spine), Oxagon (industrial hub), Trojena (alpine resort), Sindalah (island), Jaumur marina community, plus a world-scale green hydrogen complex. Recent reporting also notes write-downs and re-phasing across giga-assets at PIF—important context for timelines and returns.

Power, Water, and the Energy–Water Nexus (Why It Matters to Investors)

Saudi electricity is still dominated by oil and gas, but the renewables build-out accelerated in July 2025: ACWA Power, Badeel (PIF) and Aramco Power signed US$8.3 billion worth of PPAs across five solar and two wind projects (15 GW). Foreign-press and official releases confirm the scale and strategy.

Why this matters: water. The Kingdom is the world’s largest producer of desalinated water via SWCC; policy is shifting from thermal (MSF) to high-efficiency RO, reducing energy intensity and easing integration with solar. Official reports and technical papers outline the capacity and technology pivot.

Green Prophet coverage offers investor-friendly context on water modernization and finance: US$650M desalination modernization, Yanbu-4 clean-energy desal, Japanese RO tech at Shoaiba.

Successes Worth Noting

  • Tourism delivery: Early Red Sea openings (LEED Platinum claims, 100% solar operations, mangrove planting) and steady AlUla programming point to credible, phased execution that can scale if flight capacity, visas, and service standards keep pace.
  • Grid transition: Utility-scale renewables and fast-growing battery storage are now central to capacity planning; financing costs and Chinese supply chains have helped unlock low PPA prices.
  • Mega-events and place-branding: Expo 2030 company (PIF) was stood up to deliver venues and operations—an important governance signal for schedule discipline.

Challenges and Friction Points

Children look at model of The Line, a 15-minute city part of Neom, Saudi Arabia
The Line, a 15-minute city built on the Red Sea
  • Execution risk on gigaprojects: PIF’s 2024 annual report reflected an ~US$8 billion write-down across flagship projects, underlining re-sequencing and scope changes. Investors should model delays and phasing.
  • FDI momentum vs. mandates: The regional HQ rule is working for some global banks and managers, yet overall FDI remains below 2030 ambitions. Expect continued incentive sweeteners—and compliance checks on local presence and spend.
  • Social norms & market access: Policy changes—alcohol bans, content and attire rules, and due-process concerns—can affect Western consumer sentiment and partner risk committees. The FT analysis is a useful primer for brand and events teams.
  • Higher taxes, at 20% and a mandatory religious tax called zakat of 2.5%.
  • “Green PR” vs. measurable sustainability: Saudi spends heavily on global design and comms. Investors should require independent KPIs: energy intensity (kWh/m³) for desal plants, verifiable renewable MWh, biodiversity baselines, and public reporting aligned with GRI/SASB—rather than relying on glossy pledges. See Saudis killed and family jailed during The Line construction.

Due-Diligence Checklist for Investors

  1. Water–energy math: For hotels, industrial tenants, and data centers, model electricity demand and indirect water footprint (power cooling + desal). Track the grid mix where your load interconnects.
  2. Local-content & HQ policy: Budget for the RHQ requirement (governance, staffing, leases) to access government contracts.
  3. Zone incentives vs. obligations: In MODON and SEZs, confirm land tenure, utility tariffs, import rules, arbitration venue, and exit mechanics.
  4. Tourism demand realism: Separate Muslim pilgrimages to Mecca, VFR, and true international leisure segments when forecasting ADR/RevPAR in Red Sea or AlUla corridors.
  5. ESG verification: Ask for third-party audits on energy, water, waste, and nature impacts; evaluate desal technology (RO vs. thermal) and brine handling. Current Middle East developers and investors, and compliant architects in the Middle East are easy to tout “eco-successes” when none in fact are in place. See our article on the Aga Khan Prize and the ever-present greenwashing in the Middle East.

Want to invest in the Middle East? Jump Into the Free Green Prophet Archive—Saudi & Regional Context

 

 

Saudi Arabia’s oil-powered desalination “success” consumes 20% of its domestic oil use

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saudi arabia desaination plant

20% of Saudi Arabia’s oil and gas production is devoted to supporting co-generation desalination plants

Saudi Arabia stands as the undisputed global leader in industrial-scale desalination—a paradoxical triumph in a water-starved landscape powered predominantly by its most abundant resource: oil. The same black gold that fuels its economy also sustains its fresh water supply through energy-intensive desalination—a defining success born of necessity.

Saudi Arabia relies heavily on thermal and co-generation desalination, fueled by fossil energy. Notably, the Kingdom consumes approximately 300,000 barrels of oil per day solely for its desalination infrastructure. In terms of electricity usage, desalination accounted for around 6% of the nation’s total consumption in 2020. More broadly, it’s estimated that 20% of Saudi Arabia’s oil and gas production is devoted to supporting co-generation desalination plants, with projections indicating that by 2030, half of its domestic oil and gas output may be allocated solely for water supply.

For instance, Riyadh located in the center of the country is supplied by desalinated water pumped from the Arabian Gulf over a distance of 467 km. It is estimated in this paper that almost 20% of oil domestic production is used for desalination plants in Saudi Arabia.

The government projected that Saudi Arabia needs to spend over 213 USD Billion over the next decade to meet the demand in both water and electricity.

Related: Red Sea Farms grows food using brackish water and dead aquifers

Renewables on the Rise

Desalination and power plant powered by the sun
Desalination and power plant powered by the sun in ultra-luxury Shebara, Saudi Arabia. If the Saudis can broker peace in the region, they can overtake Dahab and Phuket as world-class tourist and live-aboard diving holidays.

Despite the oil-driven legacy, the Kingdom is strategically shifting toward renewables. By the end of 2023, Saudi Arabia had installed approximately 2.8 GW of renewable capacity (primarily solar), with 5 GW planned under its National Renewable Energy Program.

The government’s ambitious target: 50% of electricity generation capacity from renewables by 2030. As of mid-2024, over 21 GW of projects were in the pipeline, with 9.7 GW slated for completion by 2026. Within the desalination sector, the Saudi Water Authority now sources 20 % of the energy for new plants from renewable sources, while aiming to shrink carbon emissions from 60 million to 37 million tonnes by 2025, partly through minimizing liquid fuel use.

Yet desalination is not without its drawbacks. In a Green Prophet article, Yale’s Menachem Elimelech cautioned that “even the most advanced desalination technologies… still use three times as much energy as conventional water treatment.” Thermal methods, common in Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, “use a lot of energy.” This echoes broader concerns that desalination should remain a last-resort measure, pursued only after emphasising conservation, reuse, and efficiency.

Top 5 Desalination Players

Here are five leading companies shaping the global desalination industry, with operations or influence in Saudi Arabia—and one prominently Israeli:

The Saudi Water Authority (formerly SWCC) is the state enterprise operating over 30 plants with a combined capacity of ~7.5 million m³/day. It’s the world’s largest fully owned desal producer.

ACWA Power is a Saudi-based developer and operator of power and desalination facilities, with a portfolio yielding 9.5 million m³/day across 14 countries and USD 107.5 billion in investment.

Veolia is a global leader profiting from the Gulf’s surge in desal demand. Veolia brings massive energy-efficiency innovations, delivering up to 85% gains and 90% cost reductions in desal water production.

Acciona is a Spanish company with a robust water division; its 2024 revenues hit €1.2 billion, with desal projects spanning from Australia to Qatar.

IDE Technologies is an Israeli pioneer in desalination since 1965, IDE has built dozens of plants globally. Notably, its Sorek plant in Israel is one of the world’s largest RO facilities. Inclusion of IDE addresses the requirement for an Israeli company. Israeli stocks are currently on the rise. IDE is up for public bidding.

The Future of Saudi Desalination

Saudi Arabia’s approach illustrates a pragmatic melding of resources and strategy: hydrocarbon wealth enabled its desalination network, securing water independence for decades. Renewables are now integral to its energy transition and desalination infrastructure.

Yet, energy intensity remains a critical limitation, prompting experts to urge diversification and conservation. Leading desalination players—local and global—continue to drive innovation and scale, with some like IDE transcending geopolitical boundaries through technical prowess.

Saudi Arabia’s success in desalination is undeniable—fueled by oil, powered by innovation, and now pivoting toward renewables. Yet voices like Gidon Bromberg and Menachem Elimelech’s highlighting in Green Prophet) remind us that desalination is resource-intensive and should not eclipse broader water-management strategies. The Kingdom’s trajectory, backed by heavyweights like SWA, ACWA, Veolia, Acciona, and IDE, may well serve as both model and cautionary tale for water-scarce regions worldwide.

Get a backgrounder on water issues from the last year in the MENA Middle East region:

  1. Saudi Arabia’s $650M bet on desalination
  2. Water conflicts in the Middle East region to watch in 2025
  3. The Flash Flood Wave Redefining Policy in the MENA Region
  4. Iran’s water mafia and thirst for war leaves the country on brink of being dry
  5. Wastewater plants are a hidden climate issue, and we’re measuring it all wrong
  6. Sinkholes and Shrinking Shores: The Race to Rescue the Dead Sea
  7. Iran is sinking in sinkholes from overwatering
  8. Ecomondo 2025: Italy’s Green Expo Powers Global Circular Innovation
  9. Greta Thunberg Sails Toward Gaza as Israeli Navy Prepares Interception
  10. Climate, Not Just People, Is Driving Central Asia’s Desertification, Study Finds
  11. Jordan turns to ancient fire and mines volcanic soil to solve water crisis
  12. Iraq’s Ancient Water Wisdom Faces a Modern Reckoning
  13. A Solar-Powered Device Pulls Drinking Water from Desert Air
  14. Global Progress and Setbacks: Tracking Water Quality Indicators Toward SDG 6 by 2030
  15. They Call Her Madam Torti. She Might Be the Only One Who Can Save Seychelles Turtles

Ancient mud buildings in the Muslim world are spectacular and sustainable

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islam-mud-architecture-mali-great-mosqueMud buildings have withstood the test of time; will they populate our futures too?

Think of Islamic mud structures and more than likely the iconic Great Mosque of Djenne in Mali will come to mind. The largest mud brick building in the world, the mosque is considered to be amongst the greatest achievement of Sudano-Swahelian architecture and one of the most famous landmarks of Africa.

But it’s not only Africa that boasts impressive (and sustainable) mud structures, the Middle East is home to some of the most stunning mud buildings in the world. From Shibam – the Manhattan of the Desert – in Yemen to the Bam citadel of Iran, these mud structures show that there’s more to Muslim architecture than Mecca and Masdar.

Why is Mud Building Sustainable?

For thousands of years, mud has been used as building material because it’s cheap, widely available and durable. Although many question its durability, there are numerous ancient mud buildings which have withstood the test of time. Mud construction is also an extremely environmentally-friendly method as it creates little waste, there is minimal energy consumption (mostly in the construction and transportation process), and it is easy to maintain and recycle.

In fact, Hassan Fathy, who has been hailed as the Middle East’s father of sustainable architecture and was behind eco-projects such as the Gourna village in Egypt wrote: “For centuries, the peasant had been wisely and quietly exploiting the obvious building material, while we, with our modern school-learned ideas, never dreamed of using such a ludicrous substance as mud for so serious a creation as a house.”

vernacular architecture, sustainable architecture, green building, clay building, Shibam, UNESCO World Heritage Site, vernacular architecture, sustainable agriculture, sustainable development,

Modern Living in the City of Shibam

Yemen is home to one of the most impressive, one of the oldest and also one of the tallest mud cities in the world. Before the city scrapers of New York, the city of Shibam had built high rise apartments out of mud which tower to over 100 feet and are between 5 and 11 storeys high.

Dating back to around the 2nd century CE, the city was built using local clay and is still home to around 7,000 residents who live in the fortified city.

Although it is over 2,000 years old, rain and erosion necessitates constant maintenance, which efforts are now supported by restoration and urban development programs. Nicknamed Manhattan of the Desert, the city is testament to the durability of mud not just for single structures but also for modern high-rise living.

vernacular architecture, sustainable architecture, green building, clay building, Shibam, UNESCO World Heritage Site, vernacular architecture, sustainable agriculture, sustainable development,
Shibam, the Manhattan of the Desert, in Yemen

Another impressive city made of mud is Bam in Iran. Built using mud bricks known as adobe, the Bam tower or citadel (Arg-e-Bam) is believed to have been the largest adobe building in the world and was built over 2,000 years ago.

At its peak, the city served as a site of pilgrimage and was the trading centre of the Silk Road, which brought goods from the Far East to the capitals of Europe. Sadly, an earthquake in 2003 destroyed a large part of the historic city (around 70%) and killed over 26,000 people. There were more later showing that earth architecture has some limits.

vernacular architecture, sustainable architecture, green building, clay building, Shibam, UNESCO World Heritage Site, vernacular architecture, sustainable agriculture, sustainable development,

Mud Castles, Walls and Mosques

Other notable mud structures in the wider Muslim world include the Bob Dioulasso Grand Mosque in Burkina Faso, and the Khiva Wall in Uzbekistan, which is built around a collection of Islamic schools and mosques. The Siwa Oasis in Egypt (which we visited and posted about here) and the Eastern Castle in Syria have also employed mud bricks in their construction, and research shows that the famous walls of Jericho were built using sun-dried mud bricks.

Whilst these mud buildings may seem like something of the past, they are in fact increasingly considered as options for low-carbon and low-cost construction. As well as having a small footprint, mud structures have been shown to reduce energy consumption as they are able to regulate temperature.

Hopefully mud architecture will not only decorate our past, but our future too.

Image of Great Mosque in Mali via Juan Manuel Garcia and image of Bisham in Yemen by Aysegul Tastaban.

Updated 2025

Vegan-Friendly Eco-Lodging: What Makes a Hotel Truly Sustainable?

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vegan resorts in Mexico
Viva Playa is a vegan resort in Mexico

From “green” claims to measurable impact, truly sustainable hotels go beyond linen-reuse cards. The leaders integrate renewable energy, low-impact operations, zero-waste, plant-forward kitchens, cruelty-free amenities, and local community partnerships—and they publish data so guests can see the difference.

Below, we unpack the pillars that matter most, share a few standout examples, and point you to credible sources you can use to verify claims and set your own roadmap.

Renewable Energy & Low-Impact Operations

Desalination and power plant powered by the sun
Desalination and power plant powered by the sun in ultra-luxury Shebara, Saudi Arabia

Why it matters. Buildings are a massive climate lever: in 2022, the buildings and construction sector accounted for about 34% of global final energy demand and 37% of energy- and process-related CO₂ emissions. Cutting a hotel’s operational energy and decarbonizing its supply are central to any serious sustainability plan.

What leaders do?

  • Electrify and decarbonize heat with heat pumps, then match with renewables through on-site solar or power-purchase agreements.
  • Measure and disclose using standards such as the Hotel Carbon Measurement Initiative (HCMI), which allows emissions per room-night or per event to be compared across brands.
  • Target the main energy hotspots. Studies show HVAC, hot water, and kitchens dominate hotel energy demand. In one case study from Gran Canaria, food and beverage operations accounted for more than half of total energy use.

Quick wins. Smart HVAC and lighting controls, induction cooking lines, and demand-controlled ventilation can significantly reduce energy intensity while improving guest comfort and staff working conditions.

The Dual Impact of Plant-Based Menus: Environmental and Financial Gains

mujadera, lentils on rice, vegan flexitarian, vegawarian meals

Expanding vegan offerings in hotels is not just an ethical or culinary choice—it is also a strategic move with measurable benefits. From an environmental perspective, replacing a portion of meat- and dairy-heavy dishes with plant-based alternatives reduces the average meal’s carbon footprint by up to 50% and significantly lowers water and land use, according to global food system studies. This means that a hotel’s restaurant can directly shrink its overall emissions intensity with relatively simple menu adjustments. 

On the financial side, plant-based staples such as legumes, grains, and seasonal vegetables are often more cost-stable and less resource-intensive to store than animal products, which are subject to volatile pricing and stricter handling requirements. The result is a kitchen that not only serves climate-friendly meals but also improves cost efficiency through reduced ingredient expenses, longer shelf life, and simplified food safety processes.

Zero-Waste Kitchens & Plant-Based Dining

In 2022, more than one billion tonnes of food were wasted globally—about 19% of food available at retail, food service, and households. Food service accounted for around 28% of this total. Food loss and waste represent an estimated 8–10% of global greenhouse-gas emissions. Cutting waste is therefore one of hospitality’s most immediate climate levers.

Plant-forward menus amplify the gains. Large-scale research shows that plant-based foods typically have far lower greenhouse-gas, land, and water footprints than meat and dairy. A landmark meta-analysis by Poore and Nemecek demonstrated order-of-magnitude differences across products: shifting protein from beef and cheese toward legumes, grains, and tofu drastically reduces per-meal impact.

For cafés and breakfast service, the swap is visible per cup: cow’s milk has on average about three times the greenhouse-gas emissions of plant-based milks, with higher land and freshwater use per liter. Making oat or soy the default option is a small operational change with significant impact.

date seed coffee

Zero-waste practices that work. Smaller default portions, menu cross-utilization, waste tracking, and a clear diversion hierarchy (prevention, donation, upcycling, composting) all help to cut waste and costs while engaging staff.

Cruelty-Free Amenities & Circular Design

Plant-based ethics don’t stop at the dining table. Leading eco-lodgings use cruelty-free toiletries, avoid leather and down, and switch to refillable dispensers and durable, repairable furnishings. In rooms, low-tox finishes, FSC- or PEFC-certified wood, and upcycled materials reduce embodied impacts while adding design character.

Community Engagement & Local Impact

The most credible properties source locally and seasonally, pay living wages, and partner with nearby farms, artisans, and conservation groups. Transparent storytelling—energy dashboards, menu origins, waste-reduction progress—turns guests into allies and deepens the stay.

Case Snapshots: Vegan & Plant-Based Eco-Hotels

  • Ahead burghotel (Germany) — A fully vegan countryside hotel with plant-based dining and nature-focused programming.
  • Saorsa 1875 (Scotland, UK) — The UK’s first fully plant-based hotel, offering vegan toiletries and seasonal cuisine.
  • Stanford Inn & Resort (USA) — A long-standing, fully vegan eco-resort on California’s Mendocino Coast with on-site organic gardens and cooking classes.
  • Casa Albets (Spain) — A restored historic manor run as a vegan hotel with solar power and organic, plant-based cuisine.

The Bottom Line

Vegan-friendly eco-lodging isn’t a niche—it’s a systems approach. When hotels electrify and decarbonize operations, run plant-forward, low-waste kitchens, and align amenities with cruelty-free principles, they deliver lower footprints and richer guest experiences. With transparent metrics and community partnerships, this model scales from boutique hideaways to global brands.

References

  • International Energy Agency (IEA) & United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). Global Status Report for Buildings and Construction 2023. Nairobi: UNEP, 2024.
  • Sustainable Hospitality Alliance. Hotel Carbon Measurement Initiative (HCMI): Technical Guidance Document. London: SHA, 2022.
  • Santiago, D. E., et al. “Energy use in hotels: a case study in Gran Canaria.” International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies 16, no. 4 (2021): 1264–1276.
  • United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). Food Waste Index Report 2024. Nairobi: UNEP, 2024.
  • Poore, J., & Nemecek, T. “Reducing food’s environmental impacts through producers and consumers.” Science 360, no. 6392 (2018): 987–992.
  • Our World in Data. Environmental impact of milks. Oxford: Global Change Data Lab, 2020–2023.

 

Mediterranean Mega Fires Burn Record Land as Climate Change Fuels Extreme Heat and Drought

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Mediterranean Mega Fires Burn Record Land as Climate Change Fuels Extreme Heat and Drought
Firefighters in Europe

At the start of August, wildfires exploded across the Mediterranean basin, fueled by a wicked trio of extreme heat, drought and wind. In southern France, the Aude region around Carcassonne saw the country’s largest blaze since 1949, burning more than 16,000 hectares. In Spain, a 16-day heatwave — described by the national weather service as the most intense on record — set the stage for weeks of fire in the northwest near Zamora.

Greece endured simultaneous outbreaks around Patras, several Ionian islands, and Chios; satellites showed ~100,000 acres burned in just two days. By early September, the EU’s science hub estimated roughly one million hectares scorched across Europe in 2025 — an area bigger than Cyprus — with emissions and fire counts well above last year.

This isn’t just “bad luck.” Rapid attribution studies from World Weather Attribution find that the specific cocktail of hot, dry and windy weather that supercharged fires in Türkiye, Greece and Cyprus this summer is ~10 times more likely because of human-caused climate change. A separate WWA analysis shows extreme fire weather in Spain and Portugal is now effectively “common” in a warming world — a grim new baseline we’ll have to plan around, not a blip we can just ride out.

What it feels like on the ground

Fires today don’t behave like the fires our grandparents knew. Structures ignite faster; smoke is a toxic stew; embers leap roads like they weren’t even there. Our own reporting on smoke’s health harms — even from far-away blazes — is sobering: see how wildfire smoke damages lungs and hearts.

In Israel, we’ve documented both the on-the-line response and long-tail recovery, from front-line firefighting and evacuations to lessons from the Carmel blaze a decade ago — when, counter-intuitively, letting nature lead regrowth proved wiser than rushing in with well-meant tree plantings.

A warmer Mediterranean from climate change means longer fire seasons, drier fuels and stronger heat waves. We’ve reported on this shift for years — from early signals of Mediterranean winter drought trends to the uncomfortable truth that it’s not “just warming” but global scorching.

Add land-use change — abandoned farms, flammable plantations, dense edge housing — and fires spread faster and hit more people. Meanwhile, climate whiplash is reshaping risk across our region; the same storm systems that flood deserts are part of a new normal we covered in MENA’s flash-flood wave.

What we can do next (like, starting yesterday)

Prevention isn’t sexy, but it works. We can make homes less flammable, communities more prepared, and landscapes less primed to explode. That looks like smarter codes and materials — even bio-based ones. Our look at hemp-lime blocks found they smolder slowly and hold structure in fire tests,buying valuable minutes for firefighters  and families alike. For deeper resilience, check out Earthship-style off-grid homes that reduce dependence on fragile grids when heat waves knock power and comms offline.

We also need to treat mental resilience as climate infrastructure. Neighborhood-scale actions can ease eco-anxiety while cutting risk: placemaking to build social ties, shrinking our personal footprints, and backing projects that restore ecosystems at scale — from community-led reforestation in Iran to ambitious corporate pledges like doTERRA’s native tree plantings in Hawaii.

Policy matters too — and we’ll keep holding leaders to account (see our coverage of health-protective climate rules).

What Green Prophet readers can do

Feeling overwhelmed is normal, but it’s not the end of the story. Start where you live: create defensible space (clear brush, prune trees), swap to ember-resistant vents, and ask your city for shaded “cool corridors” and community fire drills. Learn the health basics for smoky days (N95s > cloth masks), keep HEPA purifiers on hand, and check in on elders and neighbors. Put your money and voice behind solutions: fund local ecological grazing and prescribed burns; back nature-positive jobs; and push for serious climate policy, not just slogans.

And yes, keep sharing rigorous reporting — amplify scientists, firefighters, and the communities living on the frontlines. Together, we can make the next fire season a little less brutal, and a little more survivable. Even small steps add up, promise.

Saudi Arabia digitizes 100,000 trees in new online tree library

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Al Khobar - where trees get a number and a name
Al Khobar – where trees get a number and a name

Al Khobar in Saudi Arabia has initiated a major environmental-tech effort: the Al Khobar Tree Digitization Project, aiming to catalog 100,000 trees across the city. Each tree will carry an electronic tag displaying its species, geographic location, and care guidelines in both Arabic and English.

See related: MIT and its trees

The tags are integrated into a dynamic geographic database, offering planners, residents, and environmental advocates an interactive real-time view of the city’s urban forest.

This initiative is a flagship component of Al Khobar’s broader ambition to emerge as a green smart city, aligned with national sustainability frameworks such as the Saudi Green Initiative (SGI). Under SGI, Saudi Arabia aims to plant 10 billion trees, protect 30 percent of its terrestrial and marine areas by 2030, foster green jobs, and promote private‑sector participation in ecosystem restoration.

We’ve written about its mangrove plantation efforts and this new project ensures trees will be cared for and protected.

Saudi is planting over a million mangroves
Saudi is planting over a million mangroves

Technology meets ecology in this project—each tagged tree contributes to data-driven urban forest management. Tree health, maintenance needs, watering schedules, and environmental metrics could be monitored centrally—paving the way for smarter irrigation, improved urban planning, and enhanced biodiversity management.

Starting with the first 10,000 trees along Al Khobar’s southern and northern corniches, waterfront zones, and main thoroughfares, the project will expand city‑wide. It sets a foundation for integrating green infrastructure, citizen engagement, and sustainable tourism—an urban ecosystem that’s both cultivated and tracked through smart tech.

This effort complements other transformative developments across the country—such as Riyadh’s Green Riyadh afforestation program, NEOM’s futuristic design projects, and “The Line”—reinforcing Saudi Arabia’s shift toward eco‑innovative urbanism.

Key Benefits: Urban Forest Health Monitoring: Real-time data enables proactive detection of disease, pests, droughts, or other threats.

Public Awareness & Participation: Bilingual labels make tree information accessible—encouraging community connection to nature.

Green Investment Attraction: Signals a city primed for green infrastructure development and eco‑tech partnerships.

Enriched Visitor Experience: Imagine interactive “tree walks” along the corniche—where every tree is a point of smart engagement.

 

Coffee compounds show promise for regulating diabetes

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New research from China’s Kunming Institute of Botany has identified six novel compounds in roasted coffee that may help regulate blood sugar, offering hope for type 2 diabetes management and paving the way for future functional coffee products.
Stumptown Coffee; New research from China’s Kunming Institute of Botany has identified six novel compounds in roasted coffee that may help regulate blood sugar, offering hope for type 2 diabetes management and paving the way for future functional coffee products.

The biggest thing with diabetes is regulating those ups and downs. Can coffee help? A team of scientists from the Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, has identified six novel compounds in roasted coffee beans that could help regulate blood sugar, potentially offering new dietary strategies for managing type 2 diabetes. Their findings were published in Beverage Plant Research.

Functional foods—foods that offer health benefits beyond basic nutrition—are of growing interest to researchers seeking natural ways to address chronic diseases. Coffee has long been studied for its antioxidant and neuroprotective properties (as seen in similar work on shilajit honey), but its potential role in controlling post-meal blood sugar is now in the spotlight. This is because certain coffee compounds can inhibit α-glucosidase, a digestive enzyme that breaks down carbohydrates into glucose. Slowing this process can reduce blood sugar spikes after eating.

Lead researcher Minghua Qiu and colleagues developed a three-step “activity-oriented” screening strategy to efficiently detect active compounds in roasted Coffea arabica beans. Using minimal solvent, they combined nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) with liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) to track down both abundant and trace-level bioactives.

They first separated the coffee extract into 19 fractions, screening each for α-glucosidase inhibition. Fractions 9 to 13 stood out, leading to the isolation of three new diterpene esters—caffaldehydes A, B, and C. These showed inhibitory effects with IC₅₀ values between 17.50 and 45.07 μM, outperforming the standard drug acarbose in potency.

Further molecular network analysis uncovered three more related diterpene esters, also previously unknown, each with unique fatty acid chains.

While these results are promising, the work is still in the early stages. The next step will be testing these compounds in living systems to confirm their safety and glucose-lowering effects. If successful, they could pave the way for coffee-derived nutraceuticals or functional food products designed to support healthy blood sugar levels.

For consumers, this might one day mean that a morning brew—whether it’s a carefully sourced cup from Stumptown Coffee Roasters or a single-origin pour-over from Blue Bottle Coffee—could also be part of a diabetes-friendly diet.

As Qiu’s team notes, the same analytical method could be applied to other complex food sources, accelerating the hunt for natural, functional ingredients with health benefits.

The Aga Khan is greenwashing their awards

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Majara Residence, Hormuz
Majara Residence, Hormuz
Ronak Roshan
Ronak Roshan

The Majara Residence on Iran’s Hormuz Island has been praised internationally for its vibrant architecture and community narrative – even winning an Aga Khan Award for Architecture. But field research of the superadobe construction suggests the reality on the ground tells a different story: one of habitat loss, fragile ecosystems at risk, and a disconnect between architectural acclaim and ecological responsibility.

Architect Ronak Roshan Gilvaei who works on Sustainable Design, Architectural Restoration & Urban Renewal weighs in for this Green Prophet exclusive.

Hormuz Island – just 8 km from Bandar Abbas in Iran – is a geological wonder, famous for its rainbow-colored soil, unique marine biodiversity, and role as a nesting ground for critically endangered sea turtles. Studies have documented nesting by hawksbill and green turtles, especially on the island’s less accessible southeastern beaches.

Hormuz Island from Google Earth, via Ronak Roshan

The Majara Residence (Persian: اقامتگاه ماجرا, where Majara translates to “adventure”) is a complex of roughly 200 colorful superadobe domes built on Hormuz Island as a seaside eco‑tourism project. Designed by ZAV Architects, it was completed around 2020.

Location of Majara Residence

At first glance and by its own descriptions, seems inspired by the philosophies of architects such as Nader Khalili, Francis Kéré, and Shigeru Ban. It could read as a model for sustainable development, particularly in its social dimension. However, my field visits and closer examination as an advocate for sustainable architecture and environmental conservation in Iran suggest the project’s execution contradicts the core principles of sustainability.

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Filled bags of earth, ZAV Architects

Its inclusion on shortlists for awards purportedly grounded in sustainability and environmental justice –– most recently the Aga Khan Award –– is surprising and concerning, especially given warnings and objections raised by activists, experts, and local communities in recent years. What has been labeled superficially as “revitalization” has, in practice, meant habitat invasion, erosion of indigenous values, and exploitation of local resources and people.

Like we learned from the Seychelles, these habitats require careful protection from light pollution, human traffic, and coastal development. Yet in recent years, tourism investors have eyed the same pristine stretches for high-profile projects, including the Majara Residence.

Turtles
Turtle nesting site on the beach in front of the Majara Residences

Its location – less than 80 metres from the high-tide line – puts it directly in sensitive turtle nesting zones. Standard conservation guidelines recommend at least a one-kilometre buffer from such areas. (Related: read the article on turtle conservation on Assomption Island.)

The consequences go beyond the hotel’s 1.5-hectare footprint. Artificial lighting can disorient hatchlings, while heavy machinery, coastal vegetation clearance, and increased visitor pressure threaten the wider ecosystem.

Digging deeper into science papers, Hormuz Island has played a vital role in the life cycle of two protected sea turtle species over the  past decades. According to local research and the scientific paper “Nesting of Hawksbill Turtle  (Eretmochelys imbricata) on Hormuz Island, Iran” (2011–2012), the island has been recognized  as an active and potential protected habitat for the critically endangered hawksbill turtle in Iran. My field observations are all documented here, and are summed up for a quick read below. 

This study mentioned above confirms regular nesting events, the relative success of hatchling survival, and the  pristine condition of some of the island’s beaches. Additionally, the paper “Turtles in Iranian  Beaches of Oman Sea during 2008–2010” (BEPLS, 2014) highlights the simultaneous presence of  both hawksbill and green turtles on Iran’s southern coasts, including Hormuz, and notes that  numerous nests of these species have been observed on the island’s shores in past years.

Hormuz turtles

Although these studies lacked GPS-based nesting site mapping or granular habitat delineation to pinpoint exact nesting sites, this does not mean nesting does not occur in specific areas—rather,  it underscores the need for more comprehensive research before any construction projects. 

Most nesting activity has been clearly observed in the southeastern part of the island, an area  less affected by human intervention due to its inaccessibility. However, in recent years, due to  its visual appeal, some investors—including the current developer of the Majara Residence have aggressively pursued tourism development projects and new hotel constructions on this land. 

Examples include last year’s proposals by Next Office and Studio KAT, which faced protests from activists and locals, halting their progress.

Destruction of Native Vegetation

Before construction, the site hosted resilient species like tamarisk, glasswort, and saltwort – plants that stabilise soil, reduce erosion, and withstand Hormuz’s extreme heat and salinity. Around 2.5 hectares of this vegetation was removed, with no ecological restoration plan in place.

ZAV Architects, in their project on Hormuz Island, identified the dominant vegetation as Prosopis juliflora (mesquite) and described it as an invasive species with deep roots that can harm biodiversity and infrastructure. However, from a scientific and ecological perspective, although mesquite is non-native and semi-invasive, it plays a vital role in stabilizing the soil, preventing erosion, and reducing desertification under the harsh environmental conditions of  Hormuz.

Removing this plant without replacing it with native species and without an ecological  management plan not only leads to habitat degradation but also contradicts the principles of  sustainable development in sensitive areas, potentially causing further environmental damage. Therefore, the hotel’s action to remove the mesquite without considering these scientific and ecological factors is unjustified and harmful.

Development of Hormuz, before and after.

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The hotel’s basic ozonation and composting systems lack advanced treatment needed for sensitive coastal zones. Without independent monitoring, there’s no way to confirm that wastewater meets safety standards. On an island without a municipal sewage network, any leakage could threaten coral reefs, seagrass beds, and turtle habitats.

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The architects also promote the project as empowering Hormuz’s native residents. Yet reports indicate persistent economic challenges: water scarcity, high transport costs, and weak tourism management. The island’s own Sustainable Development Plan, developed with local participation, focuses on training, infrastructure, and sustainable livelihoods – a deeper approach than cultural tourism alone can provide.

Systems Thinking: A Missed Opportunity

Majara Residence, Hormuz

As systems thinker Russell Ackoff argued, environmental challenges must be addressed holistically, recognising the interdependence of ecological, social, and economic factors. Successful examples, like wildlife restoration in Yellowstone Park, such as bringing back the wolves to restore the forest, show that strategic, science-led interventions can achieve balance.

On Hormuz, protecting sea turtles could have anchored an ecotourism model combining indigenous knowledge with conservation science – creating lasting benefits for both people and nature.

The Majara Hotel’s waste and sewage management system reportedly includes an ozonation unit with a daily capacity of 20 cubic meters, oil treatment up to 8 cubic meters, and compost production of 50 kg per day. However, the equipment used is basic, lacking advanced biological  or physical-chemical treatment technologies. This is particularly alarming given the hotel’s location less than 70 meters from the shoreline, where any leakage or incomplete sewage treatment could severely endanger the island’s marine ecosystem. 

Majara Residences
Majara Residences interior

According to studies by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA, 2020) and the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP, 2019), hotel wastewater contains fats, detergents, nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus), micro-pollutants, and pathogenic microorganisms. Without advanced treatment processes—such as activated sludge reactors, biofilm systems, or ultrafiltration/nanofiltration membranes—this wastewater can degrade coral habitats, promote toxic algal blooms, reduce coastal water quality, and threaten public health (WHO, 2018). 

The Majara Residence’s vibrant domes have captured global attention and won architectural accolades. But without rigorous environmental safeguards, it risks being remembered as an object lesson in how eco-tourism can turn extractive. Architecture awards that celebrate such projects without full ecological due diligence may inadvertently undermine the very sustainability principles they seek to promote.

Hormuz Island deserves development that honors its ecological fragility, cultural heritage, and the resilience of its people – not just in form and color, but in function and legacy.

Contact: [email protected] | ronakroshan.com

 

She turns Jordan’s onions and olives into fashion

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Designer Batoul Al-Rashdan, an engineer from Jordan, creates plant-based materials, which she turns into clothes and accessories. Via Batoul Al-Rashdan (UNEP) When Jordanian designer Batoul Al-Rashdan tells people she makes clothes out of ground olives and onion peels, she gets more than a few raised eyebrows. “It’s definitely a conversation starter,” laughs the founder of Jordanian fashion house Studio BOR.

Related: Stella McCartney creates shoes from cinnamon

“But once people learn more about it, they are like, ‘Okay, interesting.’”Al-Rashdan’s plant-based dresses, bags, and accessories have walked runways from Paris to Dubai and earned her a string of awards. Unlike the synthetic textiles that clog landfills for decades, her creations are designed to decay. “These clothes are not meant to last forever,” she says.

“They have served their purpose. It’s okay for them to go away.”

Designer Batoul Al-Rashdan, a trained engineer, creates plant-based materials, which she turns into clothes and accessories. Via Batoul Al-Rashdan (UNEP)An architectural engineer by training, Al-Rashdan began experimenting with plant-based textiles in 2015. She learned to transform food waste—like beetroot skins, olive pulp, and onion peels—into biodegradable materials. Some are fed into a 3D printer to make handbags, coins, and jewelry; others are spun into fabrics for high-fashion dresses.

“Iris of the sea” ? a 3D-printed dress from biodegradable material inspired by the breathtaking contours of the Dead Sea’s crystalline formations and Jordan’s national symbol, the Black Iris. ??? The Black Iris, a rare and endangered flower, thrives against the harsh desert environment, representing resilience and beauty amidst adversity. As environmental degradation threatens both the unique mineral landscape of the Dead Sea and the delicate ecosystems where the Black Iris blooms, this piece serves as a powerful reminder of nature’s fragility. ? Let’s work together to preserve these natural treasures for future generations.
“Iris of the sea” ? a 3D-printed dress from biodegradable material inspired by the breathtaking contours of the Dead Sea’s crystalline formations and Jordan’s national symbol, the Black Iris. 

One standout piece: a collaboration with designer Tony Ward on a wispy, biodegradable gown that debuted at Paris Haute Couture Fashion Week.

Every year, the fashion industry produces 92 million tonnes of textile waste—the equivalent of a garbage truck full of clothes dumped or burned every second. Much of it ends up in developing countries, releasing microplastics and toxic dyes into the environment.

According to UNEP, the sector is also responsible for up to 8% of global greenhouse gas emissions and is one of the most water-hungry industries on Earth.

Al-Rashdan’s work has been boosted by the West Asia Sustainable Fashion Academy, launched by the UN Environment Programme in 2021. The academy has trained over 150 designers, fashion students, and small businesses to use sustainable fabrics, extract natural pigments, and rethink waste.

Kylie Minogue wearing a parametric 3D printed on fabric biodegradable dress

Fellow participant Hazem Kais, head of Beirut’s GoodKill label, dyes garments with sage, walnut, and pomegranate instead of chemical dyes. “If we can dye clothes this way, why wouldn’t we?” he says.

For Al-Rashdan, every sustainable choice—no matter how small—counts. “I’m hopeful,” she says. “Every change, even a small one, matters.”

Dead desert soils still release greenhouse gases after rain

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Saudi Arabia is home to desert truffles.
Truffle hunting in the deserts of Saudi Arabia

Scientists at Ben-Gurion University in Israel have made a surprising discovery: even desert soil with no living things in it can release greenhouse gases — the same kinds of gases that help heat up our planet.

The research was done by Dr. Isaac Yagle and Prof. Ilya Gelfand at the Blaustein Institutes for Desert Research. They wanted to know what causes the big bursts of gases like carbon dioxide (CO₂), nitrous oxide (N₂O), and nitric oxide (NO) that happen in deserts right after it rains.

Isaac Yagle

Most scientists used to think this “gas burst” only happened because of tiny living things in the soil called microbes. These microbes breathe out gases when they wake up after getting wet.

But here’s the shocker: the team collected soil from near the Dead Sea and then used strong radiation to kill almost all the living things in it. When they added water, the “dead” soil still gave off large amounts of N₂O and NO — in fact, sometimes more than the soil with living microbes! The gases came out within minutes of the soil getting wet.

Ilya Gelfand
Ilya Gelfand

The scientists say this means chemistry — not just biology — is causing these quick bursts of gases. Reactions between chemicals in the soil, like nitrogen compounds, can create greenhouse gases even without life.

For CO₂, the live soils still released more, but even the “dead” soils made some CO₂ through chemical reactions and by releasing gases already trapped in the dirt.

This is important because deserts and drylands are spreading around the world as the climate changes. Rainfall in these places is also becoming more unpredictable, so wet-dry cycles may happen more often. That could mean more greenhouse gases being released into the air than scientists had thought.

For climate science, this new research means:

  • Updating emission models to include non-living (abiotic) processes in deserts and semi-arid regions.

  • Reassessing the global greenhouse gas budget, since drylands already cover ~40% of Earth’s land and are expanding.

  • Factoring in more frequent wet–dry cycles due to climate change, which could increase these sudden emissions.

  • Recognizing deserts as more active players in atmospheric chemistry and warming than previously thought.

The team says climate models — the big computer programs used to predict future climate — need to include these “abiotic” (non-living) gas releases. If they don’t, they might underestimate how much deserts contribute to climate change.

Egypt overhauls its irrigation system in anticipation of losing the Nile

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GERD Ethiopian dam
GERD Ethiopian dam

Egypt is modernizing its massive irrigation network—lining canals, expanding drip and sprinkler systems across approximately 3.7 million feddans, about 6,000 square miles, and deploying smart irrigation technologies—not just for efficiency, but as preparation for potential reductions in Nile water. Sources highlight that Egypt’s modernization targets could slash irrigation waste by up to one-third, potentially saving billions of cubic meters annually. 

The urgency is fueled by growing water scarcity—Egypt now faces an annual deficit of around 7 billion m³, exacerbated by population growth, climate change, and upstream projects like the GERD a new dam built by Ethiopis. While Egypt remains deeply reliant on the Nile, fears of reduced flows—especially during drought years or due to unilateral actions—have reinforced the strategic urgency for domestic resilience.

Egypt’s irrigation overhaul isn’t just about modern farming—it’s a proactive strategy to stretch its diminishing Nile share and future-proof agriculture in a volatile water landscape. Its expansive irrigation modernization initiative aims to enhance agricultural efficiency and protect its water supply. The plan includes upgrading field-level irrigation systems, lining canals, and introducing smart water management—all aimed at transforming inefficient flood irrigation and securing the Nile’s vital flows.

The Ministry of Planning in Egypt has budgeted nearly EGP 144.8 billion (~$3 billion USD) for agriculture and irrigation in FY 2025–26, including public and private funding, targeting improved irrigation systems and increased yield per feddan. And it is also targeting modernization across 3.7 million feddans, switching from traditional flood methods to semi-modern techniques like drip and pivot irrigation over the next few years. These changes could reduce water usage by up to 30% while boosting productivity by 30–40%.

Egypt’s top farm exports to global markets are led by citrus fruits (about 4.2 billion lb shipped in mid-2025, ≈1.9 MMT) with orchards covering roughly 152,000 ha (~375,600 acres); followed by potatoes (~2.9 billion lb exports; national harvested area ~213,000 ha or ~526,300 acres); fresh onions (~511 million lb exports; ~64,000 ha or ~158,100 acres under cultivation); table grapes (~351 million lb exports; harvested area ~73,000 ha or ~180,400 acres); and sweet potatoes (~273 million lb exports; 2023 area ~12,427 ha or ~30,700 acres).

Collectively, these crops drive roughly $4 billion in annual farm export earnings, underscoring Egypt’s pivotal role in regional food supply chains.

Cotton is still very much a thing in Egypt, though its role has shifted. Egypt is famous for its long-staple and extra-long-staple cotton, often branded internationally as Egyptian Cotton. It has a reputation for high-quality, fine fibers used in luxury textiles and bedding. Production peaked in the mid-20th century, but land competition with food crops, water constraints, and global price fluctuations have reduced its cultivated area.

Yes—cotton remains a notable Egyptian crop. In calendar year 2024, Egypt’s raw cotton exports were valued at about $475 million, driven by the country’s famed long- and extra-long-staple fibers (“Egyptian cotton”). For context, USDA projects MY 2024/25 raw cotton exports at roughly 184,000 bales (480-lb bales).

If implemented well, the overhaul could save billions of cubic meters annually, relieve pressure on groundwater, and strengthen Egypt’s position in Nile water discussions. However, key challenges include financing costs, farmer acceptance, and ensuring “saved” water doesn’t simply expand water-intensive agriculture. Companies like Netafim, the regional and global pioneer of drip irrigation systems, could help Egypt achieve its goals.

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, GERD Ethiopia, Blue Nile hydroelectric project, Ethiopia Nile River dam, Africa’s largest dam, Ethiopian hydropower, GERD water security, Nile River dispute, Ethiopia Egypt Sudan water conflict, renewable energy Ethiopia
Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Blue Nile — Africa’s largest hydroelectric project reshaping East Africa’s power supply and sparking regional water security debates.

Egypt’s irrigation system has roots in millennia-old techniques, from Aswan Dam regulation to historic canal networks. The current program builds on this heritage, blending tradition with pressure-based systems and digital monitoring. Watch developments on the GERD dam opening this year from Ethiopia as water volume from the Nile that goes to Egypt may drop dramatically.

Further reading on Green Prophet:

Saudi Arabia’s $650M bet on desalination

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Desalination and power plant powered by the sun
Desalination and power plant powered by the sun in the new ultra-luxury Shebara resort, Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia has inked a major financing deal to modernize desalination—again. The Saudi Water Authority (SWA) signed an agreement with the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and the Kingdom’s National Infrastructure Fund (Infra) to support upgrades at Jubail Phase I and Khobar Phase II, with total financing of USD 650 million. Signed on the sidelines of AIIB’s Annual Meeting in Beijing (June, 2025), the package will convert aging multi-stage flash (MSF) assets to reverse osmosis (RO)—the global standard for lower-energy, modular desalination.

According to the parties, AIIB will provide the lion’s share—over SAR 1.6 billion (~USD 450 million)—one of the bank’s largest non-sovereign corporate financings to date, while Infra contributes SAR 750 million (~USD 200 million) via a Murabaha facility. SWA executives say the modernization extends plant life by ~20 years, boosts output, and slashes energy intensity—key to Saudi’s climate and efficiency goals under Vision 2030.

Reverse osmosis uses membranes and pressure, not heat, to separate salts from seawater. It’s already the backbone of the world’s newest mega-plants, including Khobar Phase II, which has reached record daily production of ~671,000 m³. By replacing MSF trains with RO skids, operators can cut electricity demand and integrate solar and wind power more easily—vital in a grid pivoting toward renewables and green hydrogen.

But desalination isn’t a silver bullet. RO still concentrates salts and trace pollutants into brine, a disposal challenge for sensitive Red Sea reef ecosystems. Efficiency upgrades matter, yet so do smarter outfalls, brine-to-minerals recovery, and robust monitoring—especially along coastlines already under stress from microplastics and warming seas.

Don’t Forget Brackish Water

Saudi water isn’t only about the sea. The Kingdom also taps brackish inland aquifers—less salty than seawater—where RO can operate at a fraction of the energy and cost. With proper reuse and aquifer-recharge strategies, brackish desalination can relieve pressure on coastal plants and reduce the carbon footprint. The catch? Inland concentrate management. Without coastal dilution, brine needs evaporation ponds, deep-well injection, or recovery of valuable minerals to prevent soil and groundwater impacts.

Alongside hardware upgrades, Saudi utilities are embracing “smart water” analytics—pilots often grouped under initiatives like IRYIS—to track losses, predict failures, and squeeze more value from every cubic meter. Think AI-assisted pressure management, pipeline leak detection, and SCADA-integrated demand forecasting. In a country where urban resilience now hinges on real-time data, the software layer may deliver savings on par with plant retrofits.

Mark Tester, Ryan
IRYIS, formerly Red Sea Farms Founder Mark Tester

NEOM’s Big “Eco” Claim—And the Caveats

No Saudi water story is complete without NEOM, the high-profile giga-project selling a future of “100% renewable desalination,” circular brine chemistry, and hydrogen-powered industry. Ambition is welcome—Saudi needs moonshots to decouple water from oil. Yet branding vast coastal megaprojects as ecological projects raises tough questions about biodiversity impacts, embodied carbon, and social footprints along the Red Sea. But follow the money as plenty of Europeans are readying to greenwash NEOM for hard to ignore dividends.

If “green” is to be more than a marketing color, delivery must match the deck: renewables actually powering RO 24/7, brine managed as a resource not a waste, and transparent reporting on emissions and marine health.

The SWA–AIIB–Infra package signals a maturing water finance market. Blended capital, corporate structures, and performance-based upgrades can scale faster than sovereign megaprojects alone. As AIIB notes, “modernization” is climate adaptation—hardening critical supply while cutting energy per liter. If paired with demand-side efficiency, heritage water know-how, and water-smart urbanism, Saudi could pivot from crisis-driven builds to a resilient, circular water economy.

“This financing represents a significant step toward enhancing the water sector’s sustainability, increasing climate resilience, and improving the efficiency of national projects,” says Eng. Sharekh Al-Sharekh, SWA VP for Technical Affairs and Projects. AIIB calls it a commitment to “long-term water security” through modernization.

Desalination will remain a pillar of Saudi water security. The question is whether this new wave—RO retrofits, brackish efficiency, IRYIS-style analytics, and the grand NEOM promise—can turn “more water” into better water: lower-carbon, nature-literate, and honestly measured against the ecosystems it touches.

What to Watch Next in Saudi Arabia

  • How quickly MSF units are retired and RO capacity ramps without service gaps.
  • Proof that renewables—not oil and gas—are powering more of Saudi’s water.
  • More Saudis in the workforce managing stakes in their own resources
  • Transparent data on brine salinity, temperature, and outfall impacts in the Red Sea.
  • Scaling of wastewater reuse and agri-water efficiency to reduce desal demand growth.

Further reading on Green Prophet

 

Water conflicts in the Middle East region to watch in 2025

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Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, GERD Ethiopia, Blue Nile hydroelectric project, Ethiopia Nile River dam, Africa’s largest dam, Ethiopian hydropower, GERD water security, Nile River dispute, Ethiopia Egypt Sudan water conflict, renewable energy Ethiopia
Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Blue Nile — Africa’s largest hydroelectric project reshaping East Africa’s power supply and sparking regional water security debates.

The Syrian civil war was an indirect result of extreme drought in Syria at the time. As history unfolds before us, we see that lack of water breeds unrest and unrest leads to conflicts that spill between countries in the Middle East and North Africa region –– often referred to as MENA, if you are a policy maker. So how can global powers exert soft power to avoid conflict and avert major climate migration?

Water scarcity isn’t only an environmental issue—it’s a driver of political tension, migration, and even conflict. In the Middle East and North Africa, shared rivers, shrinking aquifers, and climate stress are making water diplomacy as critical as water technology.

Green Prophet is keeping our eye on various areas of concern:

The Nile Basin: Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia remain locked in dispute over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Without a binding agreement on dam operations, water security for millions downstream is at risk. As of July this year, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed publicly announced that the GERD is now fully constructed, with plans to officially inaugurate it in September 2025. What will happen when it goes online?

The Jordan River: Water allocation between Israel, Jordan, and Palestine is under strain from drought and population growth. While it was once a major river in the Levante area, the Jordan River today is a trickle of its former glory. Water diplomacy through groups like Friends of the Middle East – good friends to Green Prophet, may not only be averting crises, but is a path to peace and prosperity in the Holy Land.

EcoPeace at the Jordan River

The Tigris-Euphrates: Turkey’s dam projects and climate-driven drought are squeezing flows to Iraq and Syria. Turkey’s ambitious Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP) includes more than 22 major dams and 19 hydroelectric plants across the Tigris and Euphrates basins, with key structures like the Atatürk and Ilısu dams. These have significantly altered and reduced downstream flows into Syria and Iraq. In Iraq, the Euphrates has seen over a 60% reduction in flow over the past two decades, while the Tigris has also shrunk alarmingly.

The Tigris River flowing through southeastern Turkey, where major dam projects are altering water flows to Iraq and Syria.
The Tigris River flowing through southeastern Turkey, where major dam projects are altering water flows to Iraq and Syria.

Climate Change as a Threat Multiplier

Rising temperatures, unpredictable rainfall, and more frequent droughts amplify existing disputes. Water scarcity can fuel unrest, as seen in Iran’s Khuzestan protests, and can undermine fragile peace deals in post-conflict states like Libya and Yemen.

While water can be a source of conflict—it is veritably a bridge to peace. As scarcity worsens, MENA nations must decide whether to compete for the last drops or collaborate for shared security. The coming years will test their capacity for water diplomacy.

Extreme marathon running may carry colon cancer risk

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marathon des sables, single man running
A competitor climbs a dune, during the third stage of the 24rd Marathon des Sables in the Sahara desert, some 300 kilometers, south of Ouarzazate, Southern Morocco.

A new prospective study from the Inova Schar Cancer Institute is prompting both curiosity and caution—suggesting that very high-volume endurance running might be linked to an increased risk of precancerous colon lesions. Dr. Timothy Cannon, co-director of the Gastrointestinal Cancer Program at Inova, noticed an unusual trend: ultramarathon runners under age 40 were presenting with advanced-stage colorectal cancer.

Troubled by this pattern, he initiated a clinical study to investigate if prolonged endurance running could be a factor. “These were otherwise healthy athletes with no known genetic predisposition or inflammatory conditions,” Dr. Cannon said. “Given that many runners describe bleeding after running … the intense physical stress of endurance training could be contributing to a higher likelihood of mutagenesis causing precancerous polyps,” he said.

Related: The 10 best desert marathons

Between October 2022 and December 2024, the study recruited 100 runners aged 35–50—individuals free of hereditary cancer syndromes or inflammatory bowel disease—who had completed at least five marathons or two ultramarathons. Each underwent a screening colonoscopy, with findings carefully evaluated by a panel of experts. The results were striking:

  • 15% had advanced adenomas—precancerous lesions that are significantly higher than the typical 1–2% expected in average-risk individuals of the same age.
  • A larger group—41%—had at least one adenoma.

“It was a surprise to me—it was that many,” Cannon added, referencing the unusually high prevalence of adenomas in the cohort.”

woman running in black body suit on a track

Experts stress that this initial study is not definitive for various reasons:

  • The study was small, lacked a control group of non-runners, and remains unpublished in a peer-reviewed journal
  • Dr. Cathy Eng noted uncertainty: “Would [those polyps] have already been present regardless of their athletic status?”
  • Dr. Christina Dieli-Conwright emphasized, “I would hate to deter people from running … That would be unfair to running.” She described the findings as “thought-provoking” but in need of further research.

Until more research is done on non-runners, researchers propose a plausible—but unproven—mechanism: during prolonged intense exercise, blood is diverted away from the gastrointestinal tract, potentially leading to repeated intestinal ischemia (low blood flow), injury, and inflammation, which may foster precancerous changes.

Dr. Cannon underscores the importance of not discouraging exercise: “The bigger problem with our health is we don’t exercise enough. People should keep exercising, for sure.”

Yet he also urges vigilance: “I feel strongly that young runners who have blood in their stool after long runs … should receive screening. The good news is that screening can prevent advanced cancers.”

Who’s monitoring the UAE’s cloud seeding programs?

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Flooding in Dubai
Flooding in Dubai, 2024

While not making headlines this month, the UAE’s cloud-seeding program continues to attract both attention and skepticism. Cloud seeding—dispersing substances like silver iodide or salt particles into clouds to encourage rainfall—has been part of the country’s water-security strategy for decades. The UAE’s National Center of Meteorology has long framed the practice as an innovative approach to supplement scarce freshwater resources in an arid climate.

Yet critics, particularly after the 2024 Gulf storms, have argued that the technology may worsen extreme rainfall events and flooding. During those storms, severe flooding inundated parts of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, prompting speculation on social media and in some regional outlets that cloud-seeding flights had intensified rainfall.

Officials and weather scientists have repeatedly rejected a causal link between cloud seeding and the floods. The UAE’s meteorological authorities have pointed out that storms are driven by large-scale atmospheric systems, and that cloud seeding cannot create storms from nothing—it can only enhance precipitation in clouds that already have potential for rain. The Times of India reported that international meteorological experts also dismissed claims that cloud seeding was a primary factor in the 2024 events, noting that the scale of rainfall was consistent with natural variability and climate-change-driven extremes.

This debate is instructive beyond meteorology. It illustrates how government-led interventions in environmental systems—whether in the atmosphere, the ocean, or on land—can be portrayed as bold solutions while also facing public doubt about unintended consequences.

Cloud seeding, like artificial reef construction or large-scale afforestation projects, often enjoys positive framing in official narratives and promotional campaigns. But without independent, peer-reviewed assessment, such projects can leave the public reliant on institutional claims. This information gap can breed suspicion, especially when interventions coincide with extreme or unexpected events.

Broader Implications

As America evaluates private climate-engineering companies like Make Sunsets, the UAE example underscores the need for:

Independent evaluation — Transparent, third-party assessments of environmental interventions.

Clear communication — Proactive public engagement on scientific limits and potential risks.

Data transparency — Open publication of monitoring results, allowing independent scrutiny.

These principles apply equally to ocean engineering projects, geoengineering proposals, and climate adaptation measures in other parts of the world. In each case, the balance between innovation and precaution determines not only the environmental outcome but also public trust. Since the UAE does not have a free press and does not accept criticism of its government it will likely take international pressure from the US and Europe to ensure that a regulatory body oversees cloud seeding projects undertaking in the UAE.

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