The report’s authors, Stephen Thomas and Shukri Halaby, have a two-prong aim: to refute the argument that only nuclear power can provide requisite capacity at low cost, and demonstrate that nuclear generation is not an essential part of Jordan’s future energy mix.
The report states:
“Renewable energy resources – particularly solar – can technically provide sixty times more than Jordan’s electricity consumption in 2050. More important, is that the economics of solar and wind is feasible today, and with the declining cost structure of these technologies, they will be at and below cost parity with other indigenous fossil fuel based power generation. Economic modelling results show that a target of 100% renewable energy by 2050 can be attained and can lead to total accumulated savings of approximately $80 billion (or $12 billion in present value terms), while providing 30,000 new jobs.”
Jordan’s Energy Sector Strategy, established in 2007, planned integration of renewables into the national energy grid at 7% capacity by 2015 and 10% by 2020. But continued dependence on subsidized natural gas (imported from Egypt) has undermined meaningful progress in both development of renewable energy projects and efforts to mandate energy efficiency. As of 2011, the government had failed to initiate any significant steps towards meeting renewable goals. There have been recent developments:
- Last April, Jordan’s Parliament adopted the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Law (REEL), primarily aimed at inciting private-sector investment in Jordan’s nonexistent commercial renewable energy sector.
- Regulations come into effect this April making solar water heaters obligatory for every new residence (including apartments) sized 150 m2 or greater. Private houses sized a minimum of 250 m2 and office spaces sized a minimum 100 m2 must also comply.
- A feed-in-tariff, allowing residents to sell domestically produced power back to the national grid, was recently adopted: although it’s a bit of a Trojan Horse given that so few homes are geared up to generate solar energy. The Ministry of Energy and the Jordan River Foundation have teamed up to provide $1.8 million in loans to purchase and install all necessary equipment, but in this nation where many scramble to fuel their cars and warm their houses, there is scant interest or ability to invest in new technology.
Meanwhile, the Jordan Atomic Energy Commission is working to bring 4GW of nuclear generation online by 2030, sufficient capacity to serve over 50% of Jordan’s anticipated consumption requirements. The first of these plants, planned to go live in 2020, has been stalled in part by strong public opposition.
The Greenpeace report calls for urgent renewables development, citing repeated disruption of Egyptian gas supplies, uncertain pricing, and the unattractive contingency of shifting to imported oil derivatives that come with even higher price tags.
Greenpeace continues to emphasize on the need for a full national strategy to lessen reliance on foreign energy imports through renewable energies making this the most viable substitute to nuclear and carbon energy.
Image of anti-nuclear protestor via Greenpeace Jordan facebook page