A mini ice-age by 2030?


The press has been flooded with a sensational prediction about a mini ice age coming our way in a few years. Sounds funny since we are also in the middle of global warming, right? A team of researchers at the Northumbria University in the UK, led by Professor Valentina Zharkova, have predicted a 60% fall in solar activity about 15 years from now, classified as a “mini ice age”. ‚ÄúCombining both waves together and comparing to real data for the current solar cycle, we found that our predictions showed an accuracy of 97 per cent,” Professor Zharkova said to the UK newspaper The Independent recently.


Looking on the bright side that could be a lot of long winter nights to spend by the fire, hopefully and enough power to access the best online casino games at All Slots Casino, a premium provider of real money games to players from all over the world. With All Slots at hand – on desktop computers or mobile devices – the long winter nights will seem shorter, and the cash players can win by playing there could warm up their hearts, with promotions on offer.

Or will we?

The last time such a “mini ice age” has happened, between 1645 and 1715, was at a time of a reduction in the number of sunspots, observed by the scientists of that time. This is a phenomenon linked to two “waves” of fluids deep within the Sun, which operate at different layers, believed to influence solar activity. When the two waves are out of sync, temperatures on our planet fall. And this is exactly what Professor Zharkova has predicted using her mathematical models.

Professor Zharkova may be right about the reduction of solar activity, but her views on its effects on the temperatures on Earth is not generally accepted. She doesn’t accept man-made global warming, blaming the Sun itself for our rising temperatures.

And her predictions regarding the cold spells following the upcoming Maunder Minimum could also be right if her views on global warming are correct. But recent studies suggest that she might not be right about this one.

“Any reduction in global mean near-surface temperature due to a future decline in solar activity is likely to be a small fraction of projected anthropogenic warming,” a study published in Nature concludes. Or, as Michael Mann, professor of meteorology at Pennsylvania State University was quoted by The Washington Post, “The effect is a drop in the bucket, a barely detectable blip, on the overall warming trajectory we can expect over the next several decades from greenhouse warming.”

There is also debate about the correlation between the “mini ice age” of the late 17th – early 18th century and the Maunder Minimum. For one, the cold spell was restricted to European territories (it is a famous period in the United Kingdom, a time when the Thames River has frozen over).

Besides, scientists studying the period have determined that the volcanic activity was at its peak at the same time, which means much more sun-blocking gas in the atmosphere.

So, instead of a “mini ice age”, we might better call it a long “nuclear winter”.

Image of ice age from Shutterstock

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9 thoughts on “A mini ice-age by 2030?”

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  2. Dyson says:

    Dry regions like the southwest U.S are expected to become drier, while areas like Washington State will receive more intense downpour. Losing so much sea ice every year in the Arctic can lead to an unstoppable transition into a new type of climate.

  3. The one thing I regret about being a climate sceptic is that I will almost inevitably be partially responsible for the next climate scam which will be a rerun of the global cooling scare of the 1970s.

    I don’t know why we can’t just have sensible scientific based discussion about the climate without some group using the climate to line its own pockets – well I do – because there have always been prophets of doom using the weather/climate to make a living. But somehow when I did physics at University I thought society was beyond that stage and we no longer took our cue from prophets of dooms using climate scares.

    1. And … what would be even worse, is if I just assumed it was a scare because of the poor quality science on global warming and then the cooling really had substance.

      Damned if I do support it and probably damned if I don’t.

      Fortunately, after all these years of abuse from alarmists I probably have very thick skin!

      1. JTR says:

        You’re so deeply habituated to the economic system you can’t conceive of it destroying itself from too much of its good thing.

        1. JTR says:

          ….and Mike, there’s no money for prophets of doom. I live on a small pension. The money is with the investors in a relentlessly growing economy, even though the Earth is slowly shrinking with every volcano, earthquake and ton of coal, oil and other minerals pulled up out o the ground. The solution is to safely recycle 100% of all human-generated waste materials, all the garbage, trash, junk, smoke, fumes, etc. — and reduce the human population with family planning clinics in every neighborhood around the World. But of course that would interfere with humanity’s instinct to grow their investments forever.

    2. Teresa Toole says:

      Mike, the fact that you think this is because “groups” are trying to make money, is on it’s face absurd. I should be wary of my grocer, because I cannot eat that bread… why he is trying to make money off of it!!! Well… I hope A LOT of money is made off the solutions to our many environmental problems.You are either a paid troll or live in a fantasy world of your own ego. The actual scientists are quite reasonable. It is you who are not. So sad.

  4. JTR says:

    The ocean is so heavily polluted not enough water can evaporate to form rain clouds, but weather men dare not say that or people might demand a global clean up, which would interfere with international trade and the daily business of making money.

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